Birthday Paradox Formula:
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The birthday paradox demonstrates that in a group of just 23 people, there's a 50% chance that two people share the same birthday. This seems counterintuitive, hence the term "paradox," but it's mathematically sound.
The calculator uses the birthday paradox approximation formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the probability that no two people share a birthday and subtracts this from 1 to get the probability of at least one shared birthday.
Details: The birthday paradox has applications in cryptography, hashing algorithms, and understanding probability in everyday situations. It helps illustrate how quickly probabilities can rise with increasing group sizes.
Tips: Enter the number of people in your group. You can also adjust the number of days in a year (default 365) for different scenarios (like birthdays within the same month).
Q1: Why is it called a paradox?
A: It's called a paradox because the probability is much higher than most people intuitively expect for small group sizes.
Q2: How many people are needed for 50% probability?
A: Only 23 people are needed for a 50% chance of a shared birthday with 365 days in a year.
Q3: How many people for 99% probability?
A: About 57 people are needed for a 99% probability of a shared birthday.
Q4: Does this account for leap years?
A: The calculator uses 365 days by default, but you can adjust this to 365.25 or 366 if you want to account for leap years.
Q5: Can this be used for other shared dates?
A: Yes, you can adjust the number of days for other scenarios (e.g., same birth month with 12 days).